Significant progress in Syria
The goal shared by Israel and the United States is to achieve a regional breakthrough within six to twelve months.
Arab media report significant progress in talks with the al-Sharaa regime in Damascus. Israel and the U.S. believe Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa (Al-Julani) is focused primarily on lifting American sanctions and less on activities in Gaza.
According to a report by Lebanon’s LBCI channel, Syria has presented Israel with demands that include Israeli recognition of Ahmad al-Sharaa’s regime, a withdrawal from all territories captured since last December, cessation of Israeli strikes, and security arrangements in the southern border area, especially the tri-border area with Jordan.
Syria is also demanding American guarantees and support to uphold agreements and strengthen its political standing. In return, it is prepared to recognize Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights.
Turkey to be integrated into agreements
As part of the framework, the Americans are working to integrate Turkey into the process. Some link this to comments made by U.S. Ambassador to Ankara Tom Burke, who also serves as special envoy to Syria. Burke stated that a resolution may be near regarding the dispute over F-35 fighter jet deliveries.
In Lebanon – progress depends on Hezbollah’s disarmament
In Lebanon, the situation is more complex: progress depends on the disarmament of Hezbollah – a goal not yet achieved, but one Washington and Beirut remain committed to.
Saudi Arabia to join only after the Gaza campaign ends
The next stage in the process is expected to include Saudi Arabia. However, according to sources in Jerusalem, the Saudis will only join once the fighting in Gaza ends. It is believed this may occur soon, either through military victory or a surrender deal by Hamas.
If Saudi Arabia joins, Indonesia – the world’s largest Muslim country – may also participate in the process, following the election of a pro-Western government. Pakistan might follow, but normalization there is far more complicated due to internal Islamist elements and the Israel–India relationship.
