{"id":12623,"date":"2025-01-07T21:33:29","date_gmt":"2025-01-07T19:33:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rega.news\/?p=12623"},"modified":"2025-01-08T20:31:45","modified_gmt":"2025-01-08T18:31:45","slug":"u-s-experts-forecast-the-immediate-impact-of-the-trump-administration-on-israel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reganews.co.il\/en\/u-s-experts-forecast-the-immediate-impact-of-the-trump-administration-on-israel\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Expert’s Forecast: The Immediate Impact of the Trump Administration on Israel"},"content":{"rendered":"

In Israel, all eyes eagerly await Monday, January 20th – the historic day Donald Trump will return to the White House. Many questions about the day linger, such as what will its outcomes be for Israel? What about the return of hostages, as Trump himself promised? We spoke with Dr. Kobby Barda, an American politics historian at the Interdisciplinary School at Holon Institute of Technology. He laid out an especially surprising prediction of what lies ahead.<\/p>\n

\"\"
The White House | Photo: Shutterstock<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

A “Reaganesque Moment”<\/strong>
\n“From the very onset of the new administration, two key things relevant to Israel will unfold,” Dr. Barda begins. “First, the issue of hostages. From the day of his election, I\u2019ve said that I believe at least some of the hostages will be returned either before or on the day Trump re-enters the White House,” Barda asserts.<\/p>\n

This bold prediction has an explanation: “Trump aims to create what I call a ‘Reagan Moment,’ referring to the day Trump\u2019s most admired figure, Ronald Reagan, entered the White House on January 20, 1981. After nearly 450 days, 52 American hostages \u2014 whom President Carter had failed to release \u2014 were freed as a gesture by the Iranians, in fear of what Reagan might do to them,” he explains. “My assessment has been that Trump would aim for a similar move, which he hinted at in his recent tweet.”<\/p>\n

\"\"
U.S. Politics Expert Dr. Kobby Barda | Photo: Screenshot from Raz Zauber Podcast<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

RN: What will Trump do if the hostages aren\u2019t released? After all, he warned “All hell will break out”…<\/strong><\/p>\n

“When Trump speaks of ‘hell’ for those who don\u2019t return the hostages, it doesn\u2019t necessarily mean, and almost certainly doesn\u2019t mean, he’ll take military action,” Barda clarifies. “Trump prefers to avoid using military force, but he has other significant tools to pressure Hamas – especially in the realm of diplomacy.”<\/p>\n

“Trump is likely to allow Israel to act freely in Gaza while providing American support, including vetoing any UN proposals against Israel.”<\/p>\n

Barda believes these implications are clear to Hamas and the mediating nations in the hostage issue: “I think Hamas understands this, as do the mediating countries \u2014 Qatar, Egypt, and Turkey. They’re ensuring everyone necessary understands exactly what the consequences will be if at least some hostages aren\u2019t released.”<\/p>\n

A Split-Screen Scenario<\/strong>
\n“I anticipate that already within the first days, during the window between Trump\u2019s inauguration and his arrival at the White House to sign orders \u2014 between 2 PM and 5 PM Washington time \u2014 there will be a breakthrough on the hostage issue,” Barda predicts.<\/p>\n

“I cannot specify the format in which it will take place. Will there be a plane flying directly to retrieve the hostages? Will there be a press conference with some of the families? I don\u2019t know. But I expect a split-screen scenario, with coverage of both the White House and the hostage event location, similar to Reagan\u2019s inauguration day. I\u2019ve held this view for a while, and shared it publicly since the very day Trump won the election,” he notes.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Hostage Rally in Central Park, New York | Photo: Liri Agami, Benjamin Colonna, Alon Kaplan, Amnon Shemi<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The End of Antisemitism?<\/strong>
\n“The second issue Trump will address on day one is combatting antisemitism,” Barda explains. “We\u2019ll see a significant initiative from President Trump: First, targeting any campus protesters with visas who aren\u2019t U.S. citizens \u2014 they\u2019ll be deported. Additionally, he’ll take action reducing federal funding for universities failing to address the antisemitism and anti-Israel sentiment on campuses,” he reveals.<\/p>\n

RN: You believe Trump\u2019s actions can successfully combat the rising antisemitism? Will Israelis and Jews be able to move around with a sense of security?<\/strong><\/p>\n

“Absolutely,” Barda states confidently. “We\u2019ve already seen Congress prepare legislation imposing severe sanctions on universities. For example, Columbia University could lose $350 million in funding from the NIH, which supports medical research.”<\/p>\n

“There\u2019s widespread panic among universities that tolerated antisemitism last year. Yale is already deploying drones to monitor and detect antisemitic activities on campus. At Harvard, the new president convened the staff and warned them that past behaviors won\u2019t be tolerated anymore,” Barda notes.<\/p>\n

Barda asserts that repercussions will be so severe, they will fundamentally change reality: “We are talking about a set of punitive tools aimed at any universities which fail to get their act together. What happened in 2023\u20132024 will not repeat in 2025.”<\/p>\n

The Desire for a Nobel Prize<\/strong>
\n“Within his first month in office, I expect Trump to make significant breakthrough toward a peace agreement with Saudi Arabia,” Barda predicts, adding an intriguing reason: “Donald Trump is set on the Nobel Peace Prize \u2014 he is determined to receive it. There are two paths: either the Israel-Saudi Arabia axis, or the Ukraine-Russia axis. I believe he will focus on this very heavily .”<\/p>\n

\"\"
Donald Trump | Credit: Shutterstock<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

RN: What about the ICC?<\/strong>
\nThe International Criminal Court (ICC) recently caused significant issues for Israel, issuing arrest warrants for Prime Minister Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Gallant. Barda suggests Trump will also act in this arena.<\/p>\n

“We\u2019ll see Trump targeting anyone who collaborated with Karim Khan, the ICC prosecutor. This includes pursuing judges, prosecutors, and even countries cooperating with the court. The U.S. has plenty of economic, diplomatic, and other tools to influence both individuals and nations.”<\/p>\n

RN: Do you have any open-ended concerns?<\/strong>
\n“I can\u2019t say for certain what will happen with Iran,” Barda admits. “Could there be a coordinated attack by Biden and Trump before the inauguration? It\u2019s highly possible. That way, both Biden as the outgoing president, and Trump as not yet the sitting president, could both avoid responsibility,” speculates Barda, and concludes: “Either way, this remains is an extraordinarily complex scenario.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hostage releases, combatting antisemitism, and advancing a peace agreement with Saudi Arabia. In an exclusive interview with Rega News, Dr. Kobby Barda, a U.S. politics expert, discusses the potential impact of Trump\u2019s presidency on Israel right from the start.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":12629,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,6],"tags":[1603,2264,1482,1540,1480,2003,2092,2596,1490],"class_list":["post-12623","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","category-security","tag-antisemitism","tag-donald-trump","tag-hostages","tag-icc","tag-israel","tag-peace-treaty","tag-u-s","tag-united-nations","tag-washington-d-c"],"yoast_head":"\nU.S. Expert's Forecast: The Immediate Impact of the Trump Administration on Israel - REGA news<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"U.S. Expert's Forecast: The Immediate Impact of the Trump Administration on Israel\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Hostage releases, combatting antisemitism, and advancing a peace agreement with Saudi Arabia. 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